Multiscale Entropy of the Heart Rate Variability for the Prediction of an Ischemic Stroke in Patients with Permanent Atrial Fibrillation
نویسندگان
چکیده
BACKGROUND Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a significant risk factor for ischemic strokes, and making a robust risk stratification scheme would be important. Few studies have examined whether nonlinear dynamics of the heart rate could predict ischemic strokes in AF. We examined whether a novel complexity measurement of the heart rate variability called multiscale entropy (MSE) was a useful risk stratification measure of ischemic strokes in patients with permanent AF. METHODS AND RESULTS We examined 173 consecutive patients (age 69 ± 11 years) with permanent AF who underwent 24-hour Holter electrocardiography from April 2005 to December 2006. We assessed several frequency ranges of the MSE and CHA2DS2-VASc score (1 point for congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, vascular disease, an age 65 to 74 years, and a female sex and 2 points for an age ≥ 75 years and a stroke or transient ischemic attack). We found 22 (13%) incident ischemic strokes during a mean follow up of 3.8-years. The average value of the MSE in the very-low frequency subrange (90-300 s, MeanEnVLF2) was significantly higher in patients who developed ischemic strokes than in those who did not (0.68 ± 0.15 vs. 0.60±0.14, P<0.01). There was no significant difference in the C-statistic between the CHA2DS2-VASc score and MeanEnVLF2 (0.56; 95% confidence interval, 0.43-0.69 vs. 0.66; 95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.79). After an adjustment for the age, CHA2DS2-VASc score, and antithrombotic agent, a Cox hazard regression model revealed that the MeanEnVLF2 was an independent predictor of an ischemic stroke (hazard ratio per 1-SD increment, 1.80; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-2.07, P<0.01). CONCLUSION The MeanEnVLF2 in 24-hour Holter electrocardiography is a useful risk stratification measure of ischemic strokes during the long-term follow-up in patients with permanent AF.
منابع مشابه
Association between Multiscale Entropy Characteristics of Heart Rate Variability and Ischemic Stroke Risk in Patients with Permanent Atrial Fibrillation
Multiscale entropy (MSE) profiles of heart rate variability (HRV) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AFib) provides clinically useful information for ischemic stroke risk assessment, suggesting that the complex properties characterized by MSE profiles are associated with ischemic stroke risk. However, the meaning of HRV complexity in patients with AFib has not been clearly interpreted, and t...
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عنوان ژورنال:
دوره 10 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2015